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Israel–Iran ceasefire: Trump Thanks Qatar

Donald Trump and Qatar Amir

🕊️ Ceasefire Announced

  • Israel–Iran ceasefire announced by U.S. President Trump on June 23, 2025, crediting Qatar’s mediation efforts. It would take place in a phased manner . Iran began its ceasefire first, followed by Israel 12 hours later.
  • Trump described it as a “complete and total ceasefire,” expressing confidence it would last “forever,” although neither side has publicly confirmed full compliance yet.
  • Trump tweeted: CONGRATULATIONS TO EVERYONE! It has been fully agreed by and between Israel and Iran that there will be a Complete and Total CEASEFIRE (in approximately 6 hours from now, when Israel and Iran have wound down and completed their in progress, final missions!), for 12 hours, at which point the War will be considered, ENDED! Officially, Iran will start the CEASEFIRE and, upon the 12th Hour, Israel will start the CEASEFIRE and, upon the 24th Hour, an Official END to THE 12 DAY.
Israel–Iran ceasefire

🛑 Mixed Signals

  • Iran (FM Araghchi) stated no final decision was made and that Iran would only maintain the freeze if Israel halts first
  • Israel has not confirmed the deal, and reports mention continued strikes hours after the announced ceasefire window

🌍 Regional & Global Response

  • Qatar’s mediation was critical, with its Prime Minister securing Iran’s early agreement
  • Analysts highlight the ceasefire depends on strict timing of action cessation:
    1. Iran stops attacking at 4 AM Tehran time
    2. Israel follows 12 hours later
    3. A full 24-hour ceasefire to mark the official end
  • Oil prices reacted:
    • U.S. crude futures dropped ~$3.76 (–3.8%) on the news, marking their lowest point in over a week
    • A sharp fall from over $80 to under $70/barrel was reported

🔍 Key Developments Ahead

  • Full adherence? Will Israel officially confirm the ceasefire and halt operations after the 24‑hour window?
  • Iran’s decision-making remains conditional and internal.
  • Proxy dynamics (e.g., Houthis, Hezbollah) need to stand down for the truce to hold.
  • Global leaders continue to await clear public acknowledgment from both countries.
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